Thursday, October 16, 2008

Energy versus Water: Solving Both Crises Together

October 22, 2008

Water is needed to generate energy. Energy is needed to deliver water. Both resources are limiting the other—and both may be running short. Is there a way out?

By Michael E. Webber

In June the state of Florida made an unusual announcement: it would sue the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers over the corps’s plan to reduce water flow from reservoirs in Georgia into the Apalachicola River, which runs through Florida from the Georgia-Alabama border. Florida was concerned that the restricted flow would threaten certain endangered species. Alabama also objected, worried about another species: nuclear power plants, which use enormous quantities of water, usually drawn from rivers and lakes, to cool their big reactors. The reduced flow raised the specter that the Farley Nuclear Plant near Dothan, Ala., would need to shut down.

Georgia wanted to keep its water for good reason: a year earlier various rivers dropped so low that the drought-stricken state was within a few weeks of shutting down its own nuclear plants. Conditions had become so dire that by this past January one of the state’s legislators suggested that Georgia move its upper border a mile farther north to annex freshwater resources in Tennessee, pointing to an allegedly faulty border survey from 1818. Throughout 2008 Georgia, Alabama and Florida have continued to battle; the corps, which is tasked by Congress to manage water resources, has been caught in the middle. Drought is only one cause. A rapidly growing population, especially in Atlanta, as well as overdevelopment and a notorious lack of water planning, is running the region’s rivers dry.

Water and energy are the two most fundamental ingredients of modern civilization. Without water, people die. Without energy, we cannot grow food, run computers, or power homes, schools or offices. As the world’s population grows in number and affluence, the demands for both resources are increasing faster than ever.

Woefully underappreciated, however, is the reality that each of these precious commodities might soon cripple our use of the other. We consume massive quantities of water to generate energy, and we consume massive quantities of energy to deliver clean water. Many people are concerned about the perils of peak oil—running out of cheap oil. A few are voicing concerns about peak water. But almost no one is addressing the tension between the two: water restrictions are hampering solutions for generating more energy, and energy problems, particularly rising prices, are curtailing efforts to supply more clean water.

The paradox is raising its ugly head in many of our own backyards. In January, Lake Norman near Charlotte, N.C., dropped to 93.7 feet, less than a foot above the minimum allowed level for Duke Energy’s McGuire Nuclear Station. Outside Las Vegas, Lake Mead, fed by the Colorado River, is now routinely 100 feet lower than historic levels. If it dropped another 50 feet, the city would have to ration water use, and the huge hydroelectric turbines inside Hoover Dam on the lake would provide little or no power, potentially putting the booming desert metropolis in the dark.

Research scientist Gregory J. McCabe of the U.S. Geological Survey reiterated the message to Congress in June. He noted that an increase in average temperature of even 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit across the Southwest as the result of climate change could compromise the Colorado River’s ability to meet the water demands of Nevada and six other states, as well as that of the Hoover Dam. Earlier this year scientists at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, Calif., declared that Lake Mead could become dry by 2021 if the climate changes as expected and future water use is not curtailed.

Conversely, San Diego, which desperately needs more drinking water, now wants to build a desalination plant up the coast, but local activists are fighting the facility because it would consume so much energy and the power supply is thin. The mayor of London denied a proposed desalination plant in 2006 for the same reason, only to have his successor later rescind that denial. Cities in Uruguay must choose whether they want the water in their reservoirs to be used for drinking or for electricity. Saudi Arabia is wrestling with whether to sell all its oil and gas at rec­ord prices or to hold more of those resources to generate what it doesn’t have: freshwater for its people and its cities.

We cannot build more power plants without realizing that they impinge on our freshwater supplies. And we cannot build more water delivery and cleaning facilities without driving up energy demand. Solving the dilemma requires new national policies that integrate energy and water solutions and innovative technologies that help to boost one resource without draining the other.

Vicious Cycle
The earth holds about eight million cubic miles of freshwater—tens of thousands of times more than humans’ annual consumption. Unfortunately, most of it is imprisoned in underground reservoirs and in permanent ice and snow cover; relatively little is stored in easily accessible and replenishable lakes and rivers.

Furthermore, the available water is often not clean or not located close to population centers. Phoenix gets a large share of its freshwater via a 336-mile aqueduct from, of course, the Colorado River. Municipal supplies are also often contaminated by industry, agriculture and wastewater effluents. According to the World Health Organization, approximately 2.4 billion people live in highly water-stressed areas. Two primary solutions—shipping in water over long distances or cleaning nearby but dirty supplies—both require large amounts of energy, which is soaring in price.

Nationwide, the two greatest users of freshwater are agriculture and power plants. Thermal power plants—those that consume coal, oil, natural gas or uranium—generate more than 90 percent of U.S. electricity, and they are water hogs. The sheer amount required to cool the plants impacts the available supply to everyone else. And although a considerable portion of the water is eventually returned to the source (some evaporates), when it is emitted it is at a different temperature and has a different biological content than the source, threatening the environment. Whether this effluent should be processed is contentious; the Supreme Court is set to hear a consolidation of cases about the Environmental Protection Agency’s requirements that power plants retrofit their systems to minimize impact on local water supplies and aquatic life.

At the same time, we use a lot of energy to move and treat water, sometimes across vast distances. The California Aqueduct, which transports snowmelt across two mountain ranges to the thirsty coastal cities, is the biggest electricity consumer in the state. As convenient resources become tapped out, provi­ders must dig deeper and reach farther. Countries that have large populations but isolated water sources are considering daunting megaprojects. China, for example, wants to transport water from three river basins in the water-rich south over thousands of miles to the water-poor north, consuming vast energy supplies. Old-guard investors such as T. Boone Pickens who made their billions from oil and natural gas are now putting their money into water, including one project to pipe it across Texas. Cities such as El Paso are also trying to develop desalination plants positioned above salty aquifers, which require remarkable amounts of energy—and money.

In addition, local municipalities have to clean incoming water and treat outgoing water, which together consume about 3 percent of the nation’s electricity. Health standards typically get stricter with time, too, so the degree of energy that needs to be spent per gallon will only increase.

From Imported Oil to Domestic Water
The strains between the resources manifest themselves in tough choices at the local level—especially in land- and water-locked regions such as the desert Southwest. Is it better for a city to import fresh­water or to import electricity to desalinate brackish water in deep aquifers below? Or is it better yet to move the people to where the water is? With infinite energy, freshwater can be reached, but even if the public coffers were unlimited, policymakers are under pressure to limit carbon emissions. And with climate change possibly altering the cycles of droughts, floods and rainfall, burning more energy to get more water might be doubly dire. The challenges get even tougher because the U.S. has finally conceded that the best way to fix its energy and security problems is to break its dependence on imported oil. This new view is reflected in the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 and other legislation. Because the transportation sector is a major oil consumer—and a major carbon emitter—it is on the short list of targets for radical change by policymakers, innovators and entrepreneurs. The two most popular choices to replace gasoline appear to be electricity for plug-in vehicles and biofuels. Both paths have merits, but both are more water-­intensive than our current system.

Plug-in vehicles are particularly appealing because it is easier to manage the emissions from 1,500 power plants than from hundreds of millions of tailpipes. The electrical infrastructure is already in place. But the power sector swallows water. Compared with producing gasoline for a car, generating electricity for a plug-in hybrid-electric or all-electric vehicle withdraws 10 times as much water and consumes up to three times as much water per mile, according to studies done at the University of Texas at Austin.

Biofuels are worse. Recent analyses indicate that the entire production cycle—from growing irrigated crops on a farm to pumping biofuel into a car—can consume 20 or more times as much water for every mile traveled than the production of gasoline. When scaling up to the 2.7 trillion miles that U.S. passenger vehicles travel a year, water could well become a limiting factor. Municipalities are already fighting over water supplies with the booming biofuels industry: citizens in the Illinois towns of Champaign and Urbana recently opposed a local ethanol plant’s petition to withdraw two million gallons a day from the local aquifer to produce 100 million gallons of ethanol a year. Resistance will grow as ranchers’ wells run dry.

Whether proponents realize it or not, any plan to switch from gasoline to electricity or biofuels is a strategic decision to switch our dependence from foreign oil to domestic water. Although that choice might seem more appealing than reducing energy consumption, we would be wise to first make sure we have the necessary water.

New Mind-set Needed, Too
Regardless of which energy source the U.S., or the world, might favor, water is ultimately more important than oil because it is more immediately crucial for life, and there is no substitute. And it seems we are approaching an era of peak water—the lack of cheap water. The situation should already be considered a crisis, but the public has not grasped the urgency.

The public has indeed become more open-minded about the risks of peak oil, which vary from the dire (mass starvation and resource wars) to the blasé (markets bring forth new technologies that save the day). Supply shortages and skyrocketing prices have ratcheted up confidence in the claims of the “peakers.” Policy levers and market forces are being deployed to find a substitute for affordable oil.

What will it take for us to make the leap for water and, better yet, to consider both issues as one? When the projections for declining oil production are overlaid with the increasing demand for water, the risks become severe. Because water is increasingly energy-intensive to produce, we will likely be relying on fossil fuels for pumping water from deeper aquifers or for moving it through longer pipelines. Any peak in oil production could force a peak in water production. Peak oil might cause some human suffering, but peak water would have more extreme consequences: millions already die every year from limited access to freshwater, and the number could grow by an order of magnitude.

Perhaps signposts will wake our collective minds. Kansas lost a lawsuit to Missouri recently over interstate water use, causing Kansan farmers to reconfigure how they will grow their crops. Rationing should certainly put society on notice, and it is beginning. My hometown of Austin, Tex., now imposes strict lawn-watering restrictions. California, suffering record low snowfalls, has issued statewide requirements for municipal water conservation and rationing of water that are reminiscent of gasoline controls in the 1970s.

Someday we might look back with a curious nostalgia at the days when profligate homeowners wastefully sprayed their lawns with liquid gold to make the grass grow, just so they could then burn black gold to cut it down on the weekends. Our children and grandchildren will wonder why we were so dumb.

Forcing Solutions
The rising tension between water and energy is troubling, but it also presents an opportunity. We can tackle the problem. The first step is to integrate U.S. policymaking processes. Although the two resources are highly interdependent, energy and water regulators operate separately, with different funding streams, accountability mechanisms, government oversight and legislative committees. Instead of water planners assuming they will have all the energy they need and energy planners assuming they will have all the water they need, we must get them in the same room to make decisions.

The federal government has long had a Department of Energy but does not have a Department of Water. The EPA oversees water quality, and the U.S. Geological Survey is responsible for collecting data and monitoring supply, but no federal agency ensures the effective use of water. Congress should create a single overseer, possibly in the Department of the Interior (because of water’s environmental importance) or the Department of Commerce (because of its role in the economy). Partly because water has historically been produced locally, most regulatory responsibility has been pushed down to the state and municipal levels. Local policies can readily fail, however, when aquifers, rivers and watersheds span multiple cities or states. What happens when another city takes your water?

Federal energy and water agencies should then develop a plan for integrated policy making. For example, when power plant owners seek building permits for a given site they must show that the new installations will meet EPA air-quality standards; similar requirements from a new agency should have to be met for water usage. Energy planners should be in the room when their counterparts debate issuing water permits, to raise concerns about greater electricity demand. When siting and permitting are considered for power plants, water experts should be there to comment on any potentially elevated risk of scarcity. These interactions can take the form of simple
collaborations.

The same cross talk should inform climate change legislation. In May, Michael Arceneaux, deputy executive director of the Association of Metropolitan Water Agencies, began a one-person campaign to educate Congress that high-profile bills under consideration, notably those involving carbon cap-and-trade systems, had serious effects on water supplies that were not being considered.

As the U.S. better coordinates policy mak­ing, innovative technologies can reduce the amount of freshwater that society extracts and consumes. Agriculture is the place to start. Drip irrigation (instead of spraying water onto fields, allowing much of it to evaporate) requires much less water and delivers it directly to a crop’s roots. Farmers in the high plains due east of the Colorado River should switch to drip irrigation for their own good. Nearly all of them tap the Ogallala aquifer, the largest in the U.S., and it is being depleted at a rate of 15 billion cubic yards a year—much more than the rainfall and runoff that reaches it to recharge it. Irrigation now accounts for 94 percent of the groundwater used in the entire region.

Consumption by power plants can be significantly reduced by switching from water cooling to air cooling or at least hybrid air-water cooling. Although air systems are more expensive and are less efficient during operation, they virtually eliminate water withdrawal.

Reusing municipal and industrial waste­water will also save supplies and reduce energy consumed to transport them. Although many people cringe at the thought of “toilet to tap” cycles that convert wastewater to drinking water, astronauts onboard the space station and residents in Singapore readily drink treated wastewater every day with no ill effects. Even if that option remains unpalatable to many consumers, municipalities can certainly use reclaimed water for agriculture and industry and, indeed, for cooling power plants.

Engineering advances can also make water treatment much less energy-intensive. For example, Stonybrook Purification in Stony Brook, N.Y., is developing advanced membranes that more efficiently clean wastewater and desalinate saltwater. The inventor who discovered a way to purify water using minimal energy could become the world’s richest person and be forever enshrined.

Intelligent monitors can reduce residential and commercial waste. It is not uncommon to see sprinkler systems spraying lawns at full force in the heat of the afternoon—when evaporation is maximized and irrigation effects are minimized—and in the middle of a rainstorm. Companies such as Accuwater in Austin combine sensors, smart software and Internet connectivity for real-time weather information to better control such systems.

Residents can also spare the energy spent to heat water by widely implementing solar water heating. The simple technology is affordable, reliable, time-tested and pays for itself. But perhaps because the technology doesn’t seem cutting-edge and doesn’t have much backing from the federal government, its market penetration remains small.
We may have to make social choices, too. Conserving energy and water means we might need to give up our young love affair with corn-based ethanol.

More than anything, however, we need to value water. We must move away from a long-standing expectation that water should be free or cheap. If we think water is important, we should put a realistic price on it. Without that, we send a confusing signal that everyone can be blasé about wasting water.

Once true pricing is in place, the U.S. can perhaps go further and show consumers and regulators how much the price of water raises the price of energy and how much the price of energy raises the price of water. These two metrics will bring us face to face with the dilemma of conserving both resources, prompting effective solutions.

Note: This article was originally printed with the title, "Catch-22: Water vs. Energy".

Monday, September 8, 2008

Facing the Freshwater Crisis

As demand for freshwater soars, planetary supplies are becoming unpredictable. Existing technologies could avert a global water crisis, but they must be implemented soon

By Peter Rogers


BIG SQUEEZE: On the world's freshwater resources looms as populations mushroom and incomes rise.
Cary Wolinsky

Key Concepts

  • Global freshwater resources are threatened by rising demands from many quarters. Growing populations need ever more water for drinking, hygiene, sanitation, food production and industry. Climate change, meanwhile, is expected to contribute to droughts.
  • Policymakers need to figure out how to supply water without degrading the natural ecosystems that provide it.
  • Existing low-tech approaches can help prevent scarcity, as can ways to boost supplies, such as improved methods to desalinate water.
  • But governments at all levels need to start setting policies and making investments in infrastructure for water conservation now.

A friend of mine lives in a middle-class neighborhood of New Delhi, one of the richest cities in India. Although the area gets a fair amount of rain every year, he wakes in the morning to the blare of a megaphone announcing that freshwater will be available only for the next hour. He rushes to fill the bathtub and other receptacles to last the day. New Delhi’s endemic shortfalls occur largely because water managers decided some years back to divert large amounts from upstream rivers and reservoirs to irrigate crops.

My son, who lives in arid Phoenix, arises to the low, schussing sounds of sprinklers watering verdant suburban lawns and golf courses. Although Phoenix sits amid the Sonoran Desert, he enjoys a virtually unlimited water supply. Politicians there have allowed irrigation water to be shifted away from farming operations to cities and suburbs, while permitting recycled wastewater to be employed for landscaping and other nonpotable applications.

As in New Delhi and Phoenix, policymakers worldwide wield great power over how water resources are managed. Wise use of such power will become increasingly important as the years go by because the world’s demand for freshwater is currently overtaking its ready supply in many places, and this situation shows no sign of abating. That the problem is well-known makes it no less disturbing: today one out of six people, more than a billion, suffer inadequate access to safe freshwater. By 2025, according to data released by the United Nations, the freshwater resources of more than half the countries across the globe will undergo either stress—for example, when people increasingly demand more water than is available or safe for use—or outright shortages. By midcentury as much as three quarters of the earth’s population could face scarcities of freshwater.

Scientists expect water scarcity to become more common in large part because the world’s population is rising and many people are getting richer (thus expanding demand) and because global climate change is exacerbating aridity and reducing supply in many regions. What is more, many water sources are threatened by faulty waste disposal, releases of industrial pollutants, fertilizer runoff and coastal influxes of saltwater into aquifers as groundwater is depleted. Because lack of access to water can lead to starvation, disease, political instability and even armed conflict, failure to take action can have broad and grave consequences.

Fortunately, to a great extent, the technologies and policy tools required to conserve existing freshwater and to secure more of it are known; I will discuss several that seem particularly effective. What is needed now is action. Governments and authorities at every level have to formulate and execute concrete plans for implementing the political, economic and technological measures that can ensure water security now and in the coming decades.

Sources of Shortages
Solving the world’s water problems requires, as a start, an understanding of how much freshwater each person requires, along with knowledge of the factors that impede supply and increase demand in different parts of the world. Malin Falkenmark of the Stockholm International Water Institute and other experts estimate that, on average, each person on the earth needs a minimum of 1,000 cubic meters (m3) of water per year—equivalent to two fifths of the volume of an Olympic-size swimming pool—for drinking, hygiene and growing food for sustenance. Whether people get enough depends greatly on where they live, because the distribution of global water resources varies widely.

Providing adequate water is especially challenging in drier, underdeveloped and developing nations with large populations, because demand in those areas is high and supply is low. Rivers such as the Nile, the Jordan, the Yangtze and the Ganges are not only overtaxed, they also now regularly peter out for long periods during the year. And the levels of the underground aquifers below New Delhi, Beijing and many other burgeoning urban areas are falling.

Shortages of freshwater are meanwhile growing more common in developed countries as well. Severe droughts in the U.S., for instance, have recently left many cities and towns in the northern part of Georgia and large swaths of the Southwest scrambling for water. Emblematic of the problem are the man-made lakes Mead and Powell, both of which are fed by the overstressed Colorado River. Every year the lakes record their ongoing decline with successive, chalky high-water marks left on their tall canyon walls like so many bathtub rings.

Golden Rule
Location, of course, does not wholly determine the availability of water in a given place: the ability to pay plays a major role. People in the American West have an old saying: “Water usually runs downhill, but it always runs uphill to money.” In other words, when supplies are deficient, the powers that be typically divert them to higher-revenue-generating activities at the expense of lower-revenue-generating ones. So those with the money get water, while others do not.

Such arrangements often leave poor people and nonhuman consumers of water—the flora and fauna of the adjacent ecosystems—with insufficient allocations. And even the best intentions can be distorted by the economic realities described by that Western aphorism.

A case in point occurred in one of the best-managed watersheds (or catchments) in the world, the Murray-Darling River Basin in southeast Australia. Decades ago the agriculturalists and the government there divided up the waters among the human users—grape growers, wheat farmers and sheep ranchers—in a sophisticated way based on equity and economics. The regional water-planning agreement allowed the participants to trade water and market water rights. It even reserved a significant part of the aqueous resource for the associated ecosystems and their natural inhabitants, key “users” that are often ignored even though their health in large measure underlies the well-being of their entire region. Water and marsh plants, both macro and micro, for example, often do much to remove human-derived waste from the water that passes through the ecosystems in which they live.

It turns out, however, that the quantities of water that the planners had set aside to sustain the local environment were inadequate—an underestimation that became apparent during periodic droughts—in particular, the one that has wrought havoc in the area for the last half a dozen years. The territory surrounding the Murray-Darling Basin area dried out and then burned away in tremendous wildfires in recent years.

The economic actors had all taken their share reasonably enough; they just did not consider the needs of the natural environment, which suffered greatly when its inadequate supply was reduced to critical levels by drought. The members of the Murray-Darling Basin Commission are now frantically trying to extricate themselves from the disastrous results of their misallocation of the total water resource.

Given the difficulties of sensibly apportioning the water supply within a single nation, imagine the complexities of doing so for international river basins such as that of the Jordan River, which borders on Lebanon, Syria, Israel, the Palestinian areas and Jordan, all of which have claims to the shared, but limited, supply in an extremely parched region. The struggle for freshwater has contributed to civil and military disputes in the area. Only continuing negotiations and compromise have kept this tense situation under control.

Determining Demand
Like supply, demand for water varies from place to place. Not only does demand rise with population size and growth rate, it also tends to go up with income level: richer groups generally consume more water, especially in urban and industrial areas. The affluent also insist on services such as wastewater treatment and intensive farm irrigation. In many cities, and in particular in the more densely populated territories of Asia and Africa, water demands are growing rapidly.

In addition to income levels, water prices help to set the extent of demand. For example, in the late 1990s, when my colleagues and I simulated global water use from 2000 until 2050, we found that worldwide water requirements would rise from 3,350 cubic kilometers (km3)—roughly equal to the volume of Lake Huron—to 4,900 km3 if income and prices remained as they were in 1998. (A cubic kilometer of water is equivalent to the volume of 400,000 Olympic swimming pools.) But the demand would grow almost threefold (to 9,250 km3) if the incomes of the poorest nations were to continue to climb to levels equivalent to those of middle-income countries today and if the governments of those nations were to pursue no special policies to restrict water use. This increased requirement would greatly intensify the pressure on water supplies, a result that agrees fairly well with forecasts made by the International Water Management Institute (IWMI) when it considered a “business-as-usual,” or “do-nothing-different,” scenario in the 2007 study Water for Food, Water for Life.

Ways to Limit Waste
Given the importance of economics and income in water matters, it is clear that reasonable pricing policies that promote greater conservation by domestic and industrial users are worth adopting. In the past the cost of freshwater in the U.S. and other economic powers has been too low to encourage users to save water: as often happens when people exploit a natural resource, few worry about waste if a commodity is so cheap that it seems almost free.

Setting higher prices for water where possible is therefore near the top of my prescription list. It makes a lot of sense in developed nations, particularly in large cities and industrial areas, and more and more in developing ones as well. Higher water prices can, for instance, spur the adoption of measures such as the systematic reuse of used water (so-called gray water) for nonpotable applications. It can also encourage water agencies to build recycling and reclamation systems.

Raising prices can in addition convince municipalities and others to reduce water losses by improving maintenance of water-delivery systems. One of the major consequences of pricing water too low is that insufficient funds are generated for future development and preventive upkeep. In 2002 the U.S. Government Accountability Office reported that many domestic water utilities defer infrastructure maintenance so that they can remain within their limited operating budgets. Rather than avoiding major failures by detecting leaks early on, they usually wait until water mains break before fixing them.

The cost of repairing and modernizing the water infrastructures of the U.S. and Canada to reduce losses and ensure continued operation will be high, however. The consulting firm Booz Allen Hamilton has projected that the two countries will need to spend $3.6 trillion combined on their water systems over the next 25 years.

When the goal is to save water, another key strategy should be to focus on the largest consumers. That approach places irrigated agriculture in the bull’s-eye: compared with any other single activity, conserving irrigation flows would conserve dramatically more freshwater. To meet world food requirements in 2050 without any technological improvements to irrigated agriculture methods, farmers will need a substantial rise in irrigation water supplies (an increase from the current 2,700 to 4,000 km3), according to the IWMI study.

On the other hand, even a modest 10 percent rise in irrigation efficiency would free up more water than is evaporated off by all other users. This goal could be achieved by stopping up leaks in the water-delivery infrastructure and by implementing low-loss storage of water as well as more efficient application of water to farm crops.
An agreement between municipal water suppliers in southern California and nearby irrigators in the Imperial Irrigation District illustrates one creative conservation effort. The municipal group is paying to line leaky irrigation canals with waterproof materials, and the water that is saved will go to municipal needs.

An additional approach to saving irrigation water involves channeling water that is eventually intended for crop fields to underground storage in the nongrowing season. In most parts of the world, rainfall and snow accumulation—and runoff to rivers—peak during the nongrowing seasons of the year, when demand for irrigation water is lowest. The fundamental task for managers is therefore to transfer water from the high-supply season to the high-demand season when farmers need to irrigate crops.

The most common solution is to hold surface water behind dams until the growing season, but the exposure evaporates much of this supply. Underground storage would limit evaporation loss. For such storage to be feasible, engineers would first have to find large subsurface reservoirs that can be recharged readily by surface supplies and that can easily return their contents aboveground when needed for irrigation. Such “water banks” are currently operating in Arizona, California and elsewhere.

More extensive use of drip-irrigation systems, which minimize consumption by allowing water to seep in slowly either from the soil surface or directly into the root zone, would also do much to stem demand for irrigation water. Investments in new crop varieties that can tolerate low water levels and drought, as well as brackish and even saline water, could also help reduce requirements for irrigation water.

Given the rising demand for agricultural products as populations and incomes grow, it is unlikely that water managers can significantly lower the quantity of water now dedicated to irrigated agriculture. But improvements in irrigation efficiency as well as crop yields can help hold any increases to reasonable levels.

More Steps to Take
Keeping the demand for irrigation water in arid and semiarid areas down while still meeting the world’s future food requirements can be supported by supplying “virtual water” to those places. The term relates to the amount of water expended in producing food or commercial goods. If such products are exported to a dry region, then that area will not have to use its own water to create them. Hence, the items represent a transfer of water to the recipient locale and supply them with so-called virtual water.

The notion of virtual water may sound initially like a mere accounting device, but provision of goods—and the virtual-water content of those goods—is helping many dry countries avoid using their own water supplies for growing crops, thus freeing up large quantities for other applications. The virtual-water concept and expanded trade have also led to the resolution of many international disputes caused by water scarcity. Imports of virtual water in products by Jordan have reduced the chance of water-based conflict with its neighbor Israel, for example.

The magnitude of annual global trade in virtual water exceeds 800 billion m3 of water a year; the equivalent of 10 Nile Rivers. Liberalizing trade of farm products and reducing tariff restrictions that now deter the flow of foodstuffs would significantly enhance global virtual-water flows. Truly free farm trade, for instance, would double the current annual total delivery of virtual water to more than 1.7 trillion m3.

Whatever benefits the world may accrue from virtual-water transfers, the populations of growing cities need real, flowing water to drink, as well as for hygiene and sanitation. The ever expanding demand for urban, water-based sanitation services can be reduced by adopting dry, or low-water-use, devices such as dry composting toilets with urine separation systems. These technologies divert urine for reuse in agriculture and convert the remaining waste on-site into an organic compost that can enrich soil. Operating basically like garden compost heaps, these units employ aerobic microbes to break down human waste into a nontoxic, nutrient-rich substance. Farmers can exploit the resulting composted organic matter as crop fertilizer. These techniques can be used safely, even in fairly dense urban settings, as exemplified by installations at the Gebers Housing Project in a suburb of Stockholm and many other pilot projects.

Essentially, civil engineers can employ this technology to decouple water supplies from sanitation systems, a move that could save significant amounts of freshwater if it were more widely employed. Moreover, recycled waste could cut the use of fertilizer derived from fossil fuels.

Beyond constraining demand for freshwater, the opposite approach, increasing its supply, will be a critical component of the solution to water shortages. Some 3 percent of all the water on the earth is fresh; all the rest is salty. But desalination tools are poised to exploit that huge source of salty water. A recent, substantial reduction in the costs for the most energy-efficient desalination technology—membrane reverse-osmosis systems—means that many coastal cities can now secure new sources of potable water.

During reverse osmosis, salty water flows into the first of two chambers that are separated by a semipermeable (water-passing) membrane. The second chamber contains freshwater. Then a substantial amount of pressure is applied to the chamber with the salt solution in it. Over time the pressure forces the water molecules through the membrane to the freshwater side.

Engineers have achieved cost savings by implementing a variety of upgrades, including better membranes that require less pressure, and therefore energy, to filter water and system modularization, which makes construction easier. Large-scale desalination plants using the new, more economical technology have been built in Singapore and Tampa Bay, Fla.

Scientists are now working on reverse-osmosis filters composed of carbon nanotubes that offer better separation efficiencies and the potential of lowering desalination costs by an additional 30 percent. This technology, which has been demonstrated in prototypes, is steadily approaching commercial use. Despite the improvements in energy efficiency, however, the applicability of reverse osmosis is to some degree limited by the fact that the technology is still energy-intensive, so the availability of affordable power is important to significantly expanding its application.

A Return on Investment
Not surprisingly, staving off future water shortages means spending money—a lot of it. Analysts at Booz Allen Hamilton have estimated that to provide water needed for all uses through 2030, the world will need to invest as much as $1 trillion a year on applying existing technologies for conserving water, maintaining and replacing infrastructure, and constructing sanitation systems. This is a daunting figure to be sure, but perhaps not so huge when put in perspective. The required sum turns out to be about 1.5 percent of today’s annual global gross domestic product, or about $120 per capita, a seemingly achievable expenditure.

Unfortunately, investment in water facilities as a percentage of gross domestic product has dropped by half in most countries since the late 1990s. If a crisis arises in the coming decades, it will not be for lack of know-how; it will come from a lack of foresight and from an unwillingness to spend the needed money.

There is, however, at least one cause for optimism: the most populous countries with the largest water infrastructure needs—India and China—are precisely those that are experiencing rapid economic growth. The part of the globe that is most likely to continue suffering from inadequate water access—Africa and its one billion inhabitants—spends the least on water infrastructure and cannot afford to spend much; it is crucial, therefore, that wealthier nations provide more funds to assist the effort.

The international community can reduce the chances of a global water crisis if it puts its collective mind to the challenge. We do not have to invent new technologies; we must simply accelerate the adoption of existing techniques to conserve and enhance the water supply. Solving the water problem will not be easy, but we can succeed if we start right away and stick to it. Otherwise, much of the world will go thirsty.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR(S)
Peter Rogers is Gordon McKay Professor of Environmental Engineering and professor of city and regional planning at Harvard University, from which he received his Ph.D. in 1966. Rogers is a senior adviser to the Global Water Partnership, an organization devoted to improving global water-management practices, as well as a recipient of Guggenheim and Twentieth Century Fund fellowships.

Source: http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?id=facing-the-freshwater-crisis&itemid=200808031652480.21831

Friday, September 5, 2008

Europe's water resources seen at risk

The Washington Times, September 1, 2008 Monday - With its cable cars and stylish architecture, Expo Zaragoza 2008 is the pride of this northeastern Spanish city, offering a feel-good theme of water and sustainable development until mid- September.


Boisterous summertime crowds pack sprawling exhibits showcasing liquid natural treasures, from European rivers and lakes to Middle Eastern oases. Local bands rock late into the night.

But there is a sobering message behind Zaragoza's international fair - growing demand and the climate change wild card are making water an increasingly scarce and fought-after resource, experts say - not just in the Middle East or Africa, but also in places like Spain.

"National and regional governments in Spain have a problem when it comes to water, primarily because of the intensifying competition among agriculture, tourism and urban development, especially along with the coastal areas," said Kevin Parris, an economist at the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), in Paris.

"And also climate change, which suggests the problem of water scarcity, will increase in the next 20 to 30 years."

Water scarcity is already a reality across Europe's Mediterranean region. Cyprus, for example, is facing its worst water shortage in recent history, largely blamed on mismanagement and drought.

Climatologists and environmentalists predict climate change will intensify shortages, bringing ever sparser rainfalls between longer dry spells in the future.

But Europe overall presents a mixed picture, with changing climatic conditions possibly auguring heavy rains and flooding in northern and central areas.

"There will be more disparities - a lot less water in southern Europe and a lot more in northern Europe, where more rainfall is expected," said Elise Buckle, a climate-change specialist at the Swiss-based International Union for Conservation of Nature.

In Spain, agriculture accounts for about 60 percent of the country's national water consumption, with the booming tourism and industrial sectors sucking up much of the rest.

Those competing demands intensified earlier this year in the prosperous Catalonia region, hit by its worst drought in 60 years.

Barcelona's regional government began importing drinking water from Marseille and drafting plans to divert water from the Ebro River, one of the country's main tributaries. Then spring rains poured down, offering temporary respite.

Spain is scouting out longer-term options. Two desalination plants are up and running, and five more are in the works.

Together, they are expected to supply up to 20 percent of local drinking water in southern Spain in a few years, according to Frederic Certain, managing director for Veolia Agua, which is running one of the plants.

"Spain is the major country developing this technology in Europe," Mr. Certain said.

Recycling wastewater for industrial and agricultural uses is also growing.

Visitors to a plant outside Zaragoza are greeted with the overpowering stench during the first phase of treatment, leaving no doubt about the water's origins. By the last, however, the water is pristine enough to recharge local rivers. The leftover sludge is used to help power the plant.

But recycling and desalination are only partial solutions. Desalination also uses high amounts of energy, and environmentalists warn it may damage coastal ecosystems.

Rather, Spain needs a more fundamental overhaul of its water strategy, specialists say - ranging from removing generous water subsidies, particularly for agriculture, to scrapping velvet lawns and golf courses more suitable for northern climates and favoring less water-reliant crops.

"People are going to have to work harder to make sure water is used more effectively than before," said Eduardo Mestre, an international water specialist coordinating scientific debates at the Zaragoza fair.

For now, competition for water is mounting - not only among vying industries, but also between water-rich and water-poor regions.

Debate, for example, has long been simmering in the Aragon region, where Zaragoza is located, about whether to transfer water from the Ebro River to the Mediterranean city of Valencia.

"We need the water for development projects here - not to build golf courses in Valencia," said Carlos Kil, munching on a hot dog at the Zaragoza fair and airing a view shared by other locals.

"There is a crisis between Mediterranean regions with arid climates" and other regions in Spain's northern and Atlantic coastal areas, said Victor Vinuales, head of Ecology and Development, a nongovernmental organization based in Zaragoza.

"We need to construct a social pact for water use in Spain based on water for all."

An April report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicted southern Europe overall would become hotter and dryer in the coming years, "threatening its waterways, hydropower, agricultural production and waterways."

By contrast, climate change is likely to increase the risk of flooding in northern Europe, it said.

Weather related natural catastrophes in Europe, including flooding in Germany and the Alps, have doubled since 1990, according to another 2008 report by the German insurance group Munich RE.

It predicted precipitation would rise by 10 percent to 20 percent by the end of the century in regions like Switzerland and parts of central Europe, increasing the likelihood of severe rains and flooding.

"What we see is that the distribution of water is going to change," said Peter Hoeppe, head of Munich RE's risk-research unit.

"Especially in Britain - where 2007 produced the largest ever loss [about $6 billion] due to flooding in June and July, caused by torrential precipitation. We also see it in Germany."

Europe is waking up to climate change, Mr. Hoeppe said. Demand for natural-catastrophe insurance, which covers floods but not droughts, is growing.

Mr. Mestre, the water specialist who is coordinating scientific debates at the Zaragoza fair, is sanguine, predicting new technologies and better management are the solutions.

"We have to take care of the little - or the abundant - amount of water that we have," he said. "We have to make sure every drop counts."

September 1, 2008

source: http://www.wbcsd.org/plugins/DocSearch/details.asp?type=DocDet&ObjectId=MzEzMjA

Sunday, August 17, 2008

US States Face Future of Water Shortages


nullBoat houses barely touch the water of Atlanta’s shrinking Lake Lanier reservoir in this aerial view.

It’s scary but is it a crisis?

Many States Seen Facing Water Shortages is a fascinating article about the US water problem:

An epic drought in Georgia threatens the water supply for millions. Florida doesn’t have nearly enough water for its expected population boom. The Great Lakes are shrinking. Upstate New York’s reservoirs have dropped to record lows. And in the West, the Sierra Nevada snowpack is melting faster each year. Across America, the picture is critically clear _ the nation’s freshwater supplies can no longer quench its thirst.

The government projects that at least 36 states will face water shortages within five years because of a combination of rising temperatures, drought, population growth, urban sprawl, waste and excess.

“Is it a crisis? If we don’t do some decent water planning, it could be,” said Jack Hoffbuhr, executive director of the Denver-based American Water Works Association.

Water managers will need to take bold steps to keep taps flowing, including conservation, recycling, desalination and stricter controls on development.

“We’ve hit a remarkable moment,” said Barry Nelson, a senior policy analyst with the Natural Resources Defense Council. “The last century was the century of water engineering. The next century is going to have to be the century of water efficiency.”

The price tag for ensuring a reliable water supply could be staggering. Experts estimate that just upgrading pipes to handle new supplies could cost the nation $300 billion over 30 years.

“Unfortunately, there’s just not going to be any more cheap water,” said Randy Brown, Pompano Beach’s utilities director.

Source: http://carsonspost.wordpress.com/2007/10/27/us-states-face-future-of-water-shortages/

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Creating solutions to a water crisis

The International Herald Tribune, August 11, 2008 Monday - The first thing you see is shelf after shelf of plain glass bottles all containing different colored liquids. Some of the liquids are clear, and others whitish, yellowish, brownish, greenish, or almost black. The colors change daily, as does the consistency, and whatever is growing inside.

All of the liquids are exactly the same thing - water. To be specific, they are examples of the 1 percent of the world's water that is available - and deemed suitable - for human consumption. These samples are displayed at the start of ''1% Water and Our Future,'' an exhibition at Z33, a design and art gallery in the Belgian city of Hasselt, which explores our relationship to water, and how design can help us to use it more responsibly and productively.

''There is growing concern about the scarcity of water, and the need to save it, but in many countries, it's still taken for granted as something that pours out of the tap,'' said Jane Withers, who co-curated the exhibition with Ilse Crawford. ''People think of water as a clear, neutral product that always looks the same. It doesn't, because it's a living thing, as the samples show. We hope that once people realize this, they'll consider using water more pleasurably as well as more thoughtfully.''

The underlying theme of the exhibition is that the current efforts to stave off the water crisis will have greater impact if we also grow to appreciate its special qualities, such as its playfulness and sensuality.

The blunt facts of the water crisis are depicted in a graphic installation created by Hjalti Karlsson and Jan Wilker of the New York graphic design studio karlssonwilker. Some 70 percent of the earth's surface consists of water, but only 3 percent of it is freshwater, and less than a third of that (the 1 percent in the exhibition's title) is drinkable. The amount of water we consume is increasing, whereas the supply of freshwater is static, which is why it's running out. More than a third of the world doesn't have enough water, and the situation is worsening.

Another crisis is looming in water disposal. A third of the world's population already has inadequate sanitation. Many cities in developing countries are expanding so fast that they are literally outgrowing their sanitation networks. In developed countries, most of the networks are now decrepit. Hence the chaos on London's roads while its 19th-century drains are replaced.

Patching up and enlarging existing sanitation systems isn't the solution, as we may not have enough water to supply them, given that we waste so much of it. Some 70 percent of the drinking quality water flowing into North American or European homes is flushed down the toilet or used for cleaning. Our water footprints - which include the water used to manufacture the things we consume, as well as the water we use ourselves - are increasing. The further a product, and everything used to make it, has to travel, the bigger its water footprint will be. A typical Belgian consumes 108 liters, or nearly 30 gallons, of water directly each day, and another 4,940 liters indirectly, including part of the 10 that are used to produce a sheet of A4 paper, 11,000 for a pair of jeans and 40,000 for a car.

What can we do about it? The exhibition, which is to tour in other cities after Hasselt, including a stint at Somerset House in London in 2010, suggests lots of possibilities. Some are political initiatives, such as the water-saving program adopted by the Spanish city of Zaragoza, which succeeded in reducing its citizens' water consumption to a third of the national average. Others are ideas developed by designers and artists to suggest how we can redefine our relationship to water, as well as to propose practical solutions to the crisis.

Some of them are being tested at Z33. Hanging outside the building is Rain Catcher, a giant raindrop-shaped device developed by the Spanish designer Jordi Canudas to add rainwater to the drainage system. Taking pride of place in the garden is Pig Toilet, an experimental dry sanitation project devised by the Dutch artists Atelier Van Lieshout. It combines a pigpen with a human toilet, the contents of which are eaten by the pigs, rather than being flushed away and wasting water. ''It sounds disgusting, but it works,'' said Crawford. ''In the 19th century there was a vigorous debate between the advantages of dry and wet sanitation systems. The urgh! factor is the reason why wet systems won, but dry sanitation was a perfectly workable solution.''

More conventional (and less stomach-churning) proposals include the LifeStraw, a $5 portable device invented by the Swiss company Vestergaard Frandsen to purify water as it is sucked up through a straw. Another is the Aquaduct, a concept tricycle developed by the American design group IDEO, which carries water, and purifies it using a mechanism started by turning the pedals.

Other projects not only help to save water, but encourage us to use it more imaginatively. Some countries, such as Japan, Finland and India, have never lost their appreciation of water, notably by cherishing communal bathing as an important social ritual. But industrialized countries tend to treat it as a commodity, with quantity trumping quality even in water's most ''luxurious'' guises, such as enormous ''luxury'' baths and power showers.

A collection of antique water vessels from different countries shows how water has been used sparingly, but very effectively by cultures that value it. Crawford and Withers believe that the designers of today's water-saving systems can learn from them, as the Dutch designer Irene van Peer did when developing the Mahlangu hand-washing device. ''Hand washing is still the first defense against disease in the developing world,'' said Crawford. ''People in communities without running water can make the Mahlangu themselves by customizing a plastic water bottle. They can have 50 or 60 hand washes from one liter of water. One woman commented on how pleasant it felt to feel water splashing on her hands - something she'd never experienced before.''

August 11, 2008

Copyright © 2007 LexisNexis, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc.


Sunday, August 10, 2008

Business Challenges in a Water Constrained World

Geneva, 22 April 2008 - Everyone understands that water is essential to life. But many are only just now beginning to grasp how essential it is to everything in life � food, energy, transportation, nature, leisure, identity, culture, social norms, and virtually all the products used on a daily basis. But with population, per capita demand and, in many places, water pollution all growing rapidly, it is clear that water, already a critical issue, will become increasingly critical in the coming decades.

This fact challenges different businesses in different ways. But some general trends, observable today, suggest what more and more businesses will face in the future.

Scarcity usually encourages better management of resources. Water resources are getting scarcer due to both increasing demand and decreasing reserves, such as the melting of glaciers. It is inevitable that water use by all sectors will come under closer scrutiny as governments from local to national levels strengthen their water resource management. This will require companies to manage water better.

Businesses will need to measure all the dimensions of their water footprint, looking beyond the direct consumption of their own operations to the water dependency and impact of their supply chains, as well as those of the users of their products. In a water-constrained world, managing water-related risks becomes an imperative. Knowing the water footprint of the business is a first st ep toward identifying and quantifying those risks.

Knowing their water footprint can also help companies position products and services in response to the expectations of consumers, who are hearing more and more about water issues. And efforts are underway to give them the information they need to make �water wise� choices. The US Environmental Protection Agency recently launched its �WaterSense� program to promote water-efficiency through the market. Based on a labeling scheme, it helps consumers identify products and services that use less water while performing as well as or better than their less-efficient counterparts. The European Union, which has had an eco-label scheme in place since 1993, is studying a new approach to make water ratings as explicit as energy ratings.

Water is everybody�s business, and the principles of water management being promoted today reflect this. European water policy, for example, calls for the extension of public participation in river basin management to balance the interests of various groups.

In this context, businesses need to be prepared to engage with other stakeholders, whether business or non-business, including those who speak for ecosystems. To be credible and constructive participants in the setting of water policy, businesses need to thoroughly understand not only their own water footprint, but also the needs and priorities of others.

Another principle of water management that is receiving much attention is that of full cost recovery. While this is most often discussed in relation to water services, the concept applies to any water use, including industrial and agricultural. How should costs be calculated and who decides? How should the opportunity cost of specific uses be counted? For businesses that have located their operations to take advantage of cheap, abundant water, the emergence of such questions can have significant implications. Recognizing the economic value of water in an age when the balance between supply and demand is shifting will force many companies to reassess their models.

When it comes to water, businesses and all other sectors of society face the challenge of dealing with uncertainty, but some things are certain. One is climate change and the observed impacts on water resources. Martin Parry, co-chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group II, said in referring to the effect of climate change on animals, plants and water: �For the first time, we are no longer armwaving with models; this is empirical data, we can actually measure it.� But considerable uncertainty remains about where and when further water impacts will occur.

There is also a great deal of uncertainty about the capacity of various affected populations, as well as global systems, to adapt to changes in water availability and quality. Will we see significant changes in values and lifestyles? To what extent will global trade in virtual water compensate for local deficiencies in real water resources? How will human migration patterns change as water availability decreases in regions supplied by meltwater, where more than one-sixth of the world�s population currently lives?

There are a number of things besides climate change that are certain. One is that virtually all businesses will be affected either directly or indirectly by water-related issues over the next few decades. But how does a company effectively communicate this to get water higher up on its agenda? The WBCSD�s Water Project will be focusing more on advocacy and communications to help do exactly that.

Friday, July 25, 2008

A chilling global warming forecast: New reports about climate change should have us all sweating about the future.

The Los Angeles Times – 6/2/08

There's always a new report about global warming, but the one released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, with its charts on optimal temperatures for soybeans and peanuts, is downright creepy in its detail. This isn't your usual futuristic fodder, with vague but dire predictions. The USDA report is more frightening because it states matter-of-factly the practical changes in farming, forestry and water that are transforming the landscape now and will do so again over the next few decades.

The Senate is scheduled to vote this week on a sweeping bill that would require carbon emissions to be slashed 70% by mid-century. Its chances for passage are slim; President Bush opposes it, as he has opposed all meaningful attempts to curb global warming, on the grounds that it would harm the economy. He ought to read the USDA study, along with a similar but more comprehensive report released last week by his science advisors, which specifies the effects of global warming and its very real costs.

The USDA analysis points out the quandary we're already in after decades of inaction: The impacts during the next few decades are unavoidable. "Much of this change will be caused by greenhouse gas emissions that have already happened," the report says. In other words, we have to plan for adjusting to climate change, as well as preventing it from spiraling into a crisis in this century and beyond.

Though the report stops short of making recommendations, it implies the need for major shifts in agriculture. And there was some good news, though not as much as the bad. Northern latitudes will experience milder winters -- good for cattle -- and longer growing seasons, but also longer lifetimes for harmful pests. The South might grow too hot for traditional crops such as peanuts and watermelon. The eastern United States will get more rain, but weeds, flourishing in the presence of increased carbon dioxide, will migrate north. Crops that require cold snaps are in trouble.

The prognosis for California is especially discouraging. With a smaller snowpack and less rain, the state will experience longer and more severe droughts. Some crops in the San Joaquin and Salinas valleys might find higher temperatures intolerable, threatening the state's status as a food bowl for the nation. California, though stymied by federal regulators, has led the nation in trying to combat greenhouse gases. But it has been slower to take practical steps to adapt to the warming it can't prevent. The state cannot put off water conservation measures, and with longer and more dangerous fire seasons, it cannot afford to permit increased sprawl into forests and brush areas.

At the national level, the report should awaken the agriculture sector to the disruption ahead. If the farm lobby, which is powerful enough to continually win wasteful subsidies even though they benefit only a tiny minority, were to team up with environmentalists, imagine what they could do to fight climate change.#

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/editorials/la-ed-warming2-2008jun02,0,5120050.story

Saturday, July 12, 2008

Japan summit to test G8 leaders on climate change, world economy and security


www.chinaview.cn 2008-07-06 12:26:44 Print

Backgrounder: Toyako, venue for 2008 G8 summit

TOYAKO, Japan, July 6 (Xinhua) -- When the leaders of the Group of Eight (G8) industrialized nations gather in Hokkaido, Japan, this week for their annual summit, they face the challenge of showing greater resolve to fight global warming, remedying the world economy and easing tensions in the world's hot spots.

The host country Japan has put talks on climate change high on the agenda of the meeting in the northern resort of Toyako, building on the outcome of last year's summit in Germany, where leaders agreed to seriously consider a target of halving greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

Anti-G8 activists wearing masks of G8 leaders attend a demonstration in Sapporo, north Japan, July 5, 2008. (Xinhua Photo)
Photo Gallery>>>

CLIMATE TALKS BOTTLENECK

At a UN climate change conference last December in Bali, Indonesia, about 190 countries agreed on a two-year, UN-led negotiation process with a view to coming up with an agreement to succeed the first phase of the Kyoto Protocol on cutting emissions.

But gaps exist among developed countries and between developed and developing nations over their share of the global efforts to fight climate change, which is blamed for rising sea levels and increasing extreme weather phenomena, such as droughts and severe storms. No breakthroughs were made at the UN climate change talks in Bangkok and Berlin earlier this year.

The world's largest emitter of greenhouse gases, the United States, has ruled out setting any quantified reduction targets and a timetable, in sharp contrast to the European Union, which has set a medium-term target of cutting emissions by 20-30 percent below 1990 levels by 2020.

Some developed countries, including the United States, demand mandatory emissions cuts for developing countries, which were much smaller emitters of greenhouse gases before now and need stronger economic growth to develop. Data shows that some developed nationslead the world in emissions of carbon dioxide, the main driver of rising global temperatures, in history and in per capita emission.

GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH SLOWDOWN

"The world economy continues to face uncertainty and downside risks persist," G8 finance ministers said in their statement following a meeting in Japan last month.

With market losses, a weakening U.S. dollar, food shortages and soaring oil prices threatening to slow down global economic growth, whether G8 leaders can find the best remedy for the sagging world economy is another key gauge of how much they accomplish in Toyako.

Many of the woes afflicting global economic growth originated from some developed nations or are closely related to them. The U.S. subprime mortgage crisis sent shockwaves to financial markets around the world, tightening financial conditions that in turn hit investment and spending and dampened consumer confidence. U.S. financial and trade deficits and consecutive interest rate cuts caused the dollar to weaken, hurting the export sector of other countries and fanning speculation in commodities.

Tax barriers and farm subsidies in the United States and the European Union weakened the competitiveness of farm goods from developing countries, reducing supply on the world market. The steep climb of the price of crude price is partly fueled by large consumption and increasing speculation in some rich nations.

Such woes not only stifle growth in developed nations but also curb growth in the emerging and developing economies. The rise of food prices, in particular, jeopardizes the livelihood of the poorin developing countries.

INTERNATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES

The Toyako summit, which runs from Monday to Wednesday and brings together leaders of Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy,Japan, Russia and the United States, is also expected to address international security issues that include the Palestinian-Israeliconflict, the Iranian nuclear standoff and the situation in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Although G8 foreign ministers "reiterated the G8's full support" for the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian negotiations, the talks have hobbled along due to the failure of all Palestinian forces to speak as one. Israel, as the United States and the European Union have listed the Hamas movement as "a terrorist organization", had ruled out talks with the Palestinian movement.

The West and Iran are still far from agreeing on Tehran's nuclear program. Iran has offered a response to an updated package of incentives proposed by six major countries -- Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States.

Iranian government spokesman Gholam Hossein Elham said Saturday that the Islamic republic has made no change in its nuclear stance and will hold on to its right to peaceful use of nuclear energy.

In Toyako, G8 leaders also need to address worsening security in Afghanistan and continued anti-U.S. insurgency in Iraq.

Monday, June 16, 2008

Giant Study Pinpoints Changes From Climate Warming

US: May 15, 2008

WASHINGTON - Human-generated climate change made flowers bloom sooner and autumn leaves fall later, turned some polar bears into cannibals and some birds into early breeders, a vast global study reported on Wednesday.

Hundreds of previous studies have noted these specific changes and most suggested a link to so-called anthropogenic global warming, but a new analysis published in the journal Nature correlated these earlier studies with changes in temperature, the study's lead author said.

There was a close relationship between temperature shifts between 1970 and 2004 and changes in plants, animals and the physical world, such as the retreat of glaciers and the water level in desert lakes, the study found.

"When you look at all of the glaciers and all of the snowpack and all of the birds laying eggs earlier and all of the plants having spring earlier across a continent, then we see we can detect anthropogenic signals," said Cynthia Rosenzweig of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.

They worked to rule out observed changes that could have been caused by other factors besides anthropogenic climate change.

Building on research done to support findings reported in 2007 by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Rosenzweig and her co-authors brought together nearly 30,000 sets of data about biological and physical changes around the world, and then matched that up with a detailed database of global temperature change.


PENGUINS, POLAR BEARS AND POLLEN

"We overlay those two global datasets and then we do a spatial pattern analysis globally about the co-location of significant temperature trends and observed changes consistent with warming," Rosenzweig said in a telephone interview. "We see that those are strongly co-located."

The link between human-caused global warming -- generated by industrial and vehicle emissions of carbon dioxide to produce a temperature-boosting greenhouse effect -- and observed biological and physical changes is very strong, she said.

On a global scale, the correlation is more than 99 percent between the two factors; on a continental scale, she said, the correlation if very likely between 90 and 99 percent.

Going continent by continent, here are some observed changes in the natural world attributable to climate change, according to the study:


NORTH AMERICA: Earlier plant flowering of 89 species from American holly to sassafras; intraspecific predation, cannibalism and declining population of polar bears; earlier breeding and arrival dates of birds including robins and Canada geese.


EUROPE: Glacier melting in the Alps; changes in 19 countries of leaf-unfolding and flowering of such plants as hazel, lilac, apple, linden and birch; early pollen release in the Netherlands; long-term changes in fish communities in Upper Rhone River.


ASIA: Greater growth of Siberian pines in Mongolia; earlier break-up and thinning of river and lake ice in Mongolia; change in freeze depth of permafrost in Russia; earlier flowering of gingko in Japan.


SOUTH AMERICA: Glacier wastage in Peru; melting Patagonia ice fields contributing to sea-level rise.


AFRICA: Decreasing aquatic ecosystem productivity of Lake Tanganyika.


AUSTRALIA: Early arrival of migratory birds including flycatchers and fantails; declining water levels in Western Victoria.


ANTARCTICA: 50 percent decline in population of emperor penguins on Antarctic Peninsula; retreating glaciers.

(Editing by David Wiessler)


Story by Deborah Zabarenko

REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

Sunday, June 15, 2008

Climate Change Now

A huge new global study illustrates the extent to which climate change is demonstrably impacting wildlife, plants and the environment [ark | more\ark]. 30,000 sets of global data about biological and physical changes were matched with a detailed database of global temperature change. Changes in plants, animals and the physical world -- from plants blooming early to polar bears becoming cannibals -- were found to be closely correlated to changes in temperature. It is preposterous to be debating the existence of something so evident, and criminal to further delay action to avoid the worst impacts of a human-caused chaotic climate system.

Two other studies illustrate the degree to which humanity has overwhelmed the biosphere [search], altering fundamental biogeochemical processess performed by global ecosystems, required for all life including humans. Human use of nitrogen is overwhelming natural cycling [ark] of the nutrient, dramatically altering oceans, soils and the atmosphere. This is a direct result of agricultural intensification [search] by excessive use of fertilizers to feed unsustainable human populations.

A new study by WWF reveals that since 1970 one-third of global wildlife populations have been lost [ark]. Sadly while WWF writes great reports it often fails to act consistently, as it is the primary NGO supporter of continued ancient forest logging [search] which decimates primary natural habitats at the expense of wildlife. The existence and interactions of biodiversity are an important component of ecosystems that provide food, clean water, medicines and protection from natural hazards. Biodiversity loss, like climate change, is a symptom of a wider global ecological malaise whereby ecosystems are liquidated for short-term economic gain.

What is clear is that humanity is on track to so diminish, or even destroy, ecosystems that provide our own habitat -- threatening access to basic ecosystem services such as water, food and air. The combined surge of human population and rising expectations is so massive that very little can be done to avert catastrophe short of a revolutionary change in what it means to live and share on a finite world. Don't expect much from the rich nations, as Canada managed a paltry 1.9% decrease in emissions [ark]. The United States granted polar bears protection [news] from hunting, but announced no climate plans to protect their melting habitats. And the United Kingdom, where the industrial revolution began, can only make loans to those suffering from pollution [ark] resulting from global embrace of their devastating economic model.

Source: http://www.climateark.org/blog/2008/05/climate_change_now_3.asp

Facing a Water Crisis, California Sets a Strong Example

California_Riverbed.jpgFor the first time since 1991, California has declared that it's officially in a drought. Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger made the announcement last week, perfectly timed to support a law that the state's Legislature has just passed to help curb its growing water crisis. Starting now, any new housing development plan in the state will have to prove an ample water supply for the next 20 years, or the plan will be vetoed.


Already, development plans in Riverside, San Luis Obispo, and Kern counties have either been denied or scrapped because the developers could not find adequate water supplies. And some of these plans have been for enormous developments -- one was to include 1,500 homes.


California has become an economic superpower in recent decades, with Silicon Valley, wine, other agricultural products, and of course, entertainment being chief industries in the state. As such, its population has skyrocketed: currently 38 million people reside in California, and experts project that number to increase nearly 20% by 2020, to 45 million.


Nevertheless, the state has wisely recognized that while economic and population growth are great for California, lacking sufficient water for that surplus population is bad for everyone. It will result in higher costs for fresh water supplies, a strained agricultural industry, and of course, a dehydrated population of old and new Californians alike.


California also recently approved plans to treat sewer water around Los Angeles to make it drinkable, an initiative that could provide up to 70 million additional gallons of water per day to the area.


And while homespun water conservation awareness campaigns, such as college students timing their showers and turning "speed bathing" into a kind of dormitory sport, are wonderful, we simply need major initiatives like the one in California to achieve immediate and widespread benefits.

[Image: Quality Stock]


Source: http://awearnessblog.com/2008/06/facing-a-water-crisis.php

Water Crisis

Water Crisis

While the world's population tripled in the 20th century, the use of renewable water resources has grown six-fold. Within the next fifty years, the world population will increase by another 40 to 50 %. This population growth - coupled with industrialization and urbanization - will result in an increasing demand for water and will have serious consequences on the environment.

People lack drinking water and sanitation

Photo by ADMVB bokidiawe@yahoogroupes.fr

Already there is more waste water generated and dispersed today than at any other time in the history of our planet: more than one out of six people lack access to safe drinking water, namely 1.1 billion people, and more than two out of six lack adequate sanitation, namely 2.6 billion people (Estimation for 2002, by the WHO/UNICEF JMP, 2004). 3900 children die every day from water borne diseases (WHO 2004). One must know that these figures represent only people with very poor conditions. In reality, these figures should be much higher.

Water resources are becoming scarce

Agricultural crisis

Although food security has been significantly increased in the past thirty years, water withdrawals for irrigation represent 66 % of the total withdrawals and up to 90 % in arid regions, the other 34 % being used by domestic households (10 %), industry (20 %), or evaporated from reservoirs (4 %). (Source: Shiklomanov, 1999)

As the per capita use increases due to changes in lifestyle and as population increases as well, the proportion of water for human use is increasing. This, coupled with spatial and temporal variations in water availability, means that the water to produce food for human consumption, industrial processes and all the other uses is becoming scarce.

Environmental crisis

It is all the more critical that increased water use by humans does not only reduce the amount of water available for industrial and agricultural development but has a profound effect on aquatic ecosystems and their dependent species. Environmental balances are disturbed and cannot play their regulating role anymore. (See Water and Nature)

The concept of Water Stress


Source: WaterGAP 2.0 - December 1999

Water stress results from an imbalance between water use and water resources. The water stress indicator in this map measures the proportion of water withdrawal with respect to total renewable resources. It is a criticality ratio, which implies that water stress depends on the variability of resources. Water stress causes deterioration of fresh water resources in terms of quantity (aquifer over-exploitation, dry rivers, etc.) and quality (eutrophication, organic matter pollution, saline intrusion, etc.) The value of this criticality ratio that indicates high water stress is based on expert judgment and experience (Alcamo and others, 1999). It ranges between 20 % for basins with highly variable runoff and 60 % for temperate zone basins. In this map, we take an overall value of 40 % to indicate high water stress. We see that the situation is heterogeneous over the world.

An increase in tensions

As the resource is becoming scarce, tensions among different users may intensify, both at the national and international level. Over 260 river basins are shared by two or more countries. In the absence of strong institutions and agreements, changes within a basin can lead to transboundary tensions. When major projects proceed without regional collaboration, they can become a point of conflicts, heightening regional instability. The Parana La Plata, the Aral Sea, the Jordan and the Danube may serve as examples. Due to the pressure on the Aral Sea, half of its superficy has disappeared, representing 2/3 of its volume. 36 000 km2 of marin grounds are now recovered by salt.

Towards a way to impove the situation

"There is a water crisis today. But the crisis is not about having too little water to satisfy our needs. It is a crisis of managing water so badly that billions of people - and the environment - suffer badly." World Water Vision Report

With the current state of affairs, correcting measures still can be taken to avoid the crisis to be worsening. There is a increasing awareness that our freshwater resources are limited and need to be protected both in terms of quantity and quality. This water challenge affects not only the water community, but also decision-makers and every human being. "Water is everybody's business" was one the the key messages of the 2nd World Water Forum.

Saving water resources

Whatever the use of freshwater (agriculture, industry, domestic use), huge saving of water and improving of water management is possible. Almost everywhere, water is wasted, and as long as people are not facing water scarcity, they believe access to water is an obvious and natural thing. With urbanization and changes in lifestyle, water consumption is bound to increase. However, changes in food habits, for example, may reduce the problem, knowing that growing 1kg of potatoes requires only 100 litres of water, whereas 1 kg of beef requires 13 000 litres.

Improving drinking water supply

Water should be recognized as a great priority. One of the main objectives of the World Water Council is to increase awareness of the water issue. Decision-makers at all levels must be implicated. One of the Millenium Development Goals is to halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water and sanitation. To that aim, several measures should be taken:

  • guarantee the right to water;
  • decentralise the responsibility for water;
  • develop know-how at the local level;
  • increase and improve financing;
  • evaluate and monitor water resources.

Improving transboundary cooperation

As far as transboundary conflicts are concerned, regional economic developement and cultural preservation can all be strengthened by states cooperating of water. Instead of a trend towards war, water management can be viewed as a trend towards cooperation and peace. Many initiatives are launched to avoid crises. Institutional commitments like in the Senegal River are created. In 2001, Unesco and Grenn Cross International have joined forces in response to the growing threat of conflicts linked to water. They launched the joint From Potential Conflicts to Co-Operation Potential programme to promote peace in the use of transboundary watercourses by addressing conflicts and fostering co-operation among states and stakeholders.

More about this program: www.gci.ch/en/programs/natural_02.htm

www.unesco.org/water/wwap/pccp

[Source: http://www.worldwatercouncil.org/index.php?id=25]